Press Releases

Podcast

Share

The Coincident Barometer decreases for the second consecutive month and returns to the level of September 2024. The fall in the Leading Barometer keeps the indicator generally slightly above 100 points, a tendency that has been observed since May 2024. However, the recent escalation in the trade tensions is not reflected in the data.

In March, the coincident and leading Global Barometers show diverging movements. While the Coincident Barometer declines after a slight increase last month, the Leading Barometer rises for the second month in a row.

The Global Barometers increase slightly in February, partially recovering the losses of the previous month. The results indicate a possible consolidation of these levels for the indicators, after an upward tendency was indicated at the end of 2024.   ​​​​​​​

The decrease in the Global Barometers in January suggests a pullback after the rise recorded in the last quarter of 2024. With the decline, the Coincident Barometer is moving away from the 100-point mark. However, the Leading Barometer remains above 100 points, indicating a continued positive outlook for the performance of the world economy in the first half of 2025.

The Global Barometers remain relatively stable in December, after the noticeably increases recorded in the previous month. The Coincident Barometer slips slightly in  relation to November but ends the quarter at a more favourable level than the previous quarter, signalling overall an acceleration in global economic growth. The Leading Barometer, in turn, increases this month and suggests an increase in confidence among companies and consumers in relation to the end of the previous quarter.

After remaining practically stable for most of the year, the Global Barometers increase more markedly in November. The region Asia, Pacific & Africa stands out in the development of the Coincident barometer, which records its highest level since April 2022.

The Global Barometers record a small increase in October, largely offsetting the previous month’s decline. The Coincident Barometer continues to signal economic development below the medium-term average, while the leading barometer continues to point to a normalisation of growth in the coming months.  ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

The Global Barometers record a decline, but overall, they are still in line with the tendency towards relative stability observed over the course of this year. The decline brings the Leading Barometer closer to the neutral level of 100 points, while the Coincident Barometer is moving away from this band.​​​​​​​

The Global Barometers have reversed the previous month’s decline, maintaining the tendency of relative stability observed in recent months. The Leading Barometer remains above the neutral level of 100 points despite losing some ground earlier this year. Meanwhile, the Coincident Barometer has remained stable, fluctuating in a narrow band around 94 points since the beginning of the year.

After three consecutive increases, the Leading Barometer fell slightly, although it remained above average. The decline in the Coincident Barometer was even smaller. As a result, the indicator remains within the narrow range in which it has been fluctuating since the beginning of the year. Therefore, the slight decline in the Global Barometers in July currently does not mark a turning point at the moment.